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Different scenarios for achieving radical reduction in carbon emissions: a decomposition analysis

Agnolucci, Paolo and Ekins, Paul and Iacopini, Giorgia and Anderson, Kevin and Bows, Alice and Mander, Sarah and Shackley, Simon (2009) Different scenarios for achieving radical reduction in carbon emissions: a decomposition analysis. Ecological Economics, 68 (6). pp. 1652-1666. ISSN 0921-8009

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Official URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2007.09.005

Abstract

This paper introduces the method of decomposition analysis, and briefly discusses how it has been used in relation to patterns of energy consumption. It then uses decomposition analysis to discuss two radically different scenarios of UK energy use through to 2050, both of which result in a 60% reduction in emissions of carbon dioxide. The ratios of the decomposition analysis are discussed in relation to the social and economic drivers of energy use, and the kinds of changes in these drivers which would be necessary to bring the ratios about. In this way decomposition analysis is shown to be a useful technique both to generate quantitative scenarios of this kind, and to cast light on the socio-economic conditions which they imply.

Item Type:Article
Research Community:University of Westminster > Policy Studies Institute (PSI)
ID Code:2937
Deposited On:26 Jan 2007
Last Modified:25 Mar 2009 11:00

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